Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.340804 0.452357 0.574935 0.717468 0.876719 1.047502 1.242922
2025-04-27 0.203091 0.351197 0.533482 0.763531 1.037339 1.345738 1.713018
2025-05-04 0.151010 0.318461 0.541048 0.835820 1.198647 1.617300 2.125221
2025-05-11 0.105442 0.279641 0.530788 0.878833 1.320069 1.839600 2.479439
2025-05-18 0.065542 0.234005 0.500919 0.888553 1.394172 2.000738 2.757879
2025-05-25 0.027268 0.169816 0.431711 0.836746 1.384091 2.055420 2.906453
2025-06-01 0.006312 0.116849 0.366516 0.780984 1.361818 2.089792 3.026201
2025-06-08 0.000307 0.085341 0.328307 0.757894 1.378003 2.168369 3.196298
2025-06-15 NaN 0.071035 0.318234 0.774795 1.446564 2.311799 3.444716
2025-06-22 NaN 0.052590 0.293781 0.766051 1.477828 2.406394 3.632106
2025-06-29 NaN 0.035231 0.264310 0.745408 1.490039 2.474858 3.785902
2025-07-06 NaN 0.032397 0.271537 0.786044 1.589318 2.656331 4.080587
2025-07-13 NaN 0.028861 0.277374 0.827388 1.694589 2.852156 4.401878
2025-07-20 NaN 0.026627 0.286878 0.875906 1.811665 3.065385 4.747598
2025-07-27 NaN 0.029257 0.312858 0.953813 1.971579 3.334851 5.163802
2025-08-03 NaN 0.026898 0.321080 0.999803 2.084893 3.543159 5.503445
2025-08-10 NaN 0.020067 0.310196 1.010229 2.145421 3.681463 5.754730
2025-08-17 NaN 0.008272 0.265897 0.954739 2.105849 3.685382 5.834976
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001594 0.222725 0.894897 2.055973 3.672954 5.892379
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000053 0.199024 0.870076 2.057191 3.727526 6.033577
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.195976 0.888246 2.125139 3.872838 6.291384
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.181052 0.878848 2.148873 3.957193 6.470319
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.161630 0.856644 2.150942 4.010975 6.609167